Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Pavoreal Eviction Risk: Elevated , Carlsbad

Tract 06073020030 · San Diego, CA · pop 8,725 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

06073020030 is a census tract in the Pavoreal area of Carlsbad, CA. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 8,725. Severe burden reaches 44%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 10% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units2,619

Renter share27.6%

SVI overall0.53

Poverty rate12.7%

Median income$180,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region

Centroid at 33.1151, -117.2579 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pavoreal scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Carlsbad

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

12.7% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$2,240 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Carlsbad

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Carlsbad

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Carlsbad

6.1

How Pavoreal compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

47%Socioeconomic
39%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pavoreal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.7%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
10.6%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
5.0%No health insurance
15.4%Frequent mental distress
24.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pavoreal

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. Cost burden runs 62% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10.

At $2,240 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Carlsbad commands. It sits 1.0 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10.

Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $180,625, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073020030

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020030?

Census tract 06073020030 in the Pavoreal neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073020030?

Median gross rent is $2,240/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020030?

12.7% of residents in tract 06073020030 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,725.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020030?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 39th, minority 62th, housing 60th.

Is tract 06073020030 considered part of Pavoreal?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073020030 fall within Pavoreal (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073020030 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073020030 compare to Carlsbad overall?

Tract 06073020030 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Carlsbad at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad

Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.