Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Richland Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Marcos

Tract 06073020040 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,980 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 06073020040 in the Richland area of San Marcos, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,980 residents. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 15% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units1,483

Renter share31.0%

SVI overall0.44

Poverty rate10.0%

Median income$140,746

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 33.1640, -117.1526 · click any tract to drill in

Why Richland scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Marcos

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.0% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$2,943 rent vs county FMR

5.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Marcos

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Marcos

7.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Marcos

6.9

How Richland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

35%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Richland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.2%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
10.0%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
6.0%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
15.2%Frequent mental distress
25.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Richland

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,943, 25% above the San Marcos average.

Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 79th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $140,746. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073020040

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020040?

Census tract 06073020040 in the Richland neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073020040?

Median gross rent is $2,943/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020040?

10.0% of residents in tract 06073020040 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,980.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020040?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 40th, minority 44th, housing 60th.

Is tract 06073020040 considered part of Richland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073020040 fall within Richland (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073020040 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073020040 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 06073020040 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of San Marcos at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.