Polk Gulch Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Average gross rent is $1,821, 26% below the San Francisco average. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 33% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the San Francisco County average of 37.3%.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.