Skip to content
Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

Polk Gulch Eviction Risk: High

7 census tracts · pop 19,044 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.4/10 · range 8.8–9.9

Polk Gulch is a 7-tract neighborhood of San Francisco, CA and houses 19,044 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.4/10, placing it in the High tier. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10. 36% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the San Francisco rate of 25.1%.

76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 8.8 to 9.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

At $2,778 a month, rents sit 12% over what the rest of San Francisco commands. Food insecurity affects 9.4% of adults, 8.4 points below the national rate. 5.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Among the 53 mapped neighborhoods of San Francisco, it ranks #28 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Duboce Triangle and Telegraph Hill. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $165,627.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.4
High
7 tracts · population-weighted
Polk Gulch vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.8% +43%
San Francisco: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$2,778 +12%
San Francisco: $2,476
Average HH income
$165,627 +17%
San Francisco: $141,446
Poverty rate
8.0% -24%
San Francisco: 10.6%
Renter share
75.6% +22%
San Francisco: 61.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Polk Gulch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 8.8–9.9

Why Polk Gulch scores 9.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
76% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
8.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.8 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.6 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Polk Gulch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Polk Gulch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.4Polk GulchNeighborhood9.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Polk Gulch?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.1 points from 8.8 to 9.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

7 tracts in Polk Gulch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06075011001 9.9 2,618 33% $1,821
06075011101 9.9 2,502 35% $2,039
06075011102 9.9 2,218 44% $2,145
06075015100 9.5 2,799 40% $3,010
06075011002 9.1 1,907 39% $2,807
06075013101 8.9 4,269 35% $3,501
06075013102 8.8 2,731 28% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 21%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Polk Gulch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Polk Gulch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Polk Gulch?

Polk Gulch scores 9.4/10 (High tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Polk Gulch compare to San Francisco overall?

Polk Gulch scores 0.5 points lower than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,778 vs $2,476.
Q3

What is the average rent in Polk Gulch?

Average gross rent in Polk Gulch is $2,778/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Polk Gulch residents are renters?

76% of Polk Gulch households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 19,044 residents.
Q5

Is Polk Gulch a high social-vulnerability area?

Polk Gulch sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Polk Gulch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Polk Gulch is census tract 06075011001 (score 9.9/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.8 to 9.9, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Polk Gulch for landlords?

Polk Gulch carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.4/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Polk Gulch?

Polk Gulch has 18,257 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (31.5%), Hispanic / Latino (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Polk Gulch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Polk Gulch.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further