Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

Polk Gulch Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075011002 · San Francisco, CA · pop 1,907 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 06075011002 covers part of the Polk Gulch area of San Francisco, CA, and scores 9.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.1

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 42% Owners 32%

Tract context

Occupied units1,129

Renter share68.4%

SVI overall0.51

Poverty rate6.3%

Median income$155,575

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7953, -122.4200 · click any tract to drill in

Why Polk Gulch scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.3% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$2,807 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Polk Gulch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
33%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
62%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Polk Gulch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.5%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
12.3%Food insecurity
9.9%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
6.2%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
23.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Polk Gulch

34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Average gross rent is $2,807, 13% above the San Francisco average. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

39% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $155,575.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075011002

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075011002?

Census tract 06075011002 in the Polk Gulch neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075011002?

Median gross rent is $2,807/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075011002?

6.3% of residents in tract 06075011002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,907.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075011002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 33th, minority 62th, housing 33th.

Is tract 06075011002 considered part of Polk Gulch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075011002 fall within Polk Gulch (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075011002 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075011002 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075011002 scores 9.1/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075011002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 62% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.