Neighborhood · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally

Cole Valley Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075016602 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,098 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 06075016602 sits in the Cole Valley area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.9/10. Population here is 2,098. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

8.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 55% Owners 20%

Tract context

Occupied units988

Renter share80.0%

SVI overall0.04

Poverty rate3.4%

Median income$218,394

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7699, -122.4511 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cole Valley scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

3.4% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,270 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Cole Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

1%Socioeconomic
0%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
17%Grade C
45%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cole Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.6%Housing insecurity
3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
6.0%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
4.6%Transit barriers
3.9%No health insurance
15.1%Frequent mental distress
16.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cole Valley

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. At $3,270 a month, rents run 32% over what the rest of San Francisco commands.

Disability prevalence runs 16.4% against 31.5% nationally. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Cost burden runs around a third here against 37.3% across San Francisco County. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #4,393 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075016602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075016602?

Census tract 06075016602 in the Cole Valley neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075016602?

Median gross rent is $3,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075016602?

3.4% of residents in tract 06075016602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,098.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075016602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 0th, minority 44th, housing 66th.

Is tract 06075016602 considered part of Cole Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075016602 fall within Cole Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075016602 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075016602 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075016602 scores 8.9/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075016602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 45% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.