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Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

Cole Valley Eviction Risk: High

5 census tracts · pop 18,034 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.1/10 · range 8.9–9.4

Cole Valley is a 5-tract neighborhood of San Francisco, CA, population 18,034. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.1/10, placing it in the High tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10. This is a renter market: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Average gross rent is $3,039, 23% above the San Francisco average of $2,476. Severe burden reaches 14%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Against a San Francisco baseline of 25.1%, 30% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 6.5% of adults, 11.3 points below the national rate. Among the 53 mapped neighborhoods of San Francisco, it ranks #41 by risk, the lower third.

Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 5 tracts score within 0.5 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 9.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.1
High
5 tracts · population-weighted
Cole Valley vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.3% +21%
San Francisco: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$3,039 +23%
San Francisco: $2,476
Average HH income
$182,888 +29%
San Francisco: $141,446
Poverty rate
7.0% -34%
San Francisco: 10.6%
Renter share
68.6% +11%
San Francisco: 61.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cole Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 8.9–9.4

Why Cole Valley scores 9.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
69% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
7.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.5 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–4.9 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Cole Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cole Valley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.1Cole ValleyNeighborhood9.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Cole Valley?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.5 points from 8.9 to 9.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Cole Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06075030101 9.4 4,792 41% $2,966
06075017102 9.2 3,646 29% $2,972
06075020401 9.1 3,248 25% $3,244
06075017101 8.9 4,250 23% $2,908
06075016602 8.9 2,098 31% $3,270
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cole Valley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cole Valley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cole Valley?

Cole Valley scores 9.1/10 (High tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cole Valley compare to San Francisco overall?

Cole Valley scores 0.8 points lower than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $3,039 vs $2,476.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cole Valley?

Average gross rent in Cole Valley is $3,039/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cole Valley residents are renters?

69% of Cole Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 18,034 residents.
Q5

Is Cole Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

Cole Valley sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cole Valley have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cole Valley is census tract 06075030101 (score 9.4/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.9 to 9.4, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Cole Valley for landlords?

Cole Valley carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cole Valley?

Cole Valley has 17,658 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.9%), Hispanic / Latino (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cole Valley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cole Valley.

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