Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally
Transbay Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco
Tract 06075017801 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,582 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
06075017801 is a census tract in the Transbay area of San Francisco, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,582. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.
Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units2,381
Renter share74.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$31,215
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Francisco and the region
Centroid at 37.7820, -122.4012 · click any tract to drill in
Why Transbay scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$537 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5
How Transbay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Transbay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.7%Food insecurity
- 18.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.4%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 40.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Transbay
Average gross rent is $537, 78% below the San Francisco average. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. Against San Francisco County at 37.3%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. 74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.7/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $31,215.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06075017801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075017801?
Census tract 06075017801 in the Transbay neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06075017801?
Median gross rent is $537/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06075017801?
22.0% of residents in tract 06075017801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,582.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06075017801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 79th, minority 86th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 06075017801 considered part of Transbay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075017801 fall within Transbay (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06075017801 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06075017801 compare to San Francisco overall?
Tract 06075017801 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco
Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Lower Nob Hill
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
06075017903
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Outer Mission
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Potrero Terrace
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Rincon Hill
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Potrero Terrace
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Russian Hill
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunnyside
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Related