3 census tracts · pop 8,443 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.8/10
· range 9.6–9.9
Transbay spans 3 census tracts of San Francisco, CA and houses 8,443 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.8/10, placing it in the High tier. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the San Francisco rate of 25.1%.
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10. This is a renter market: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The severe-burden share is 12%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 16%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
Average gross rent is $2,147, 13% below the San Francisco average of $2,476. That places it #12 of 53 neighborhoods in San Francisco.
The closest comparables inside the same city are West SoMa and Hunters Point. Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.3 points apart at the extremes.
With little internal variation, 9.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
9.8
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Transbay vs San FranciscoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Transbay
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.9%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility shutoff threat
13.6%Food insecurity
11.4%SNAP enrollment
6.5%No health insurance
27.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Transbay
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Transbay?
Transbay scores 9.8/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Transbay compare to San Francisco overall?
Transbay scores 0.1 points lower than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,147 vs $2,476.
Q3
What is the average rent in Transbay?
Average gross rent in Transbay is $2,147/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Transbay residents are renters?
67% of Transbay households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 8,443 residents.
Q5
Is Transbay a high social-vulnerability area?
Transbay sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Transbay have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Transbay is census tract 06075017801 (score 9.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.6 to 9.9, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Transbay for landlords?
Transbay carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Transbay?
Transbay has 8,754 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (54.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (27.1%), Hispanic / Latino (13.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
