Neighborhood · Ranked #4,888 of 84,120 nationally

St. Mary's Park Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075021800 · San Francisco, CA · pop 4,121 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 8.7/10, tract 06075021800 in the St. Mary's Park area of San Francisco, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,121 residents. 19% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the San Francisco County average of 37.3%.

Risk score

8.7

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 31% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,777

Renter share38.0%

SVI overall0.08

Poverty rate2.5%

Median income$222,891

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7379, -122.4291 · click any tract to drill in

Why St. Mary's Park scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

2.5% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How St. Mary's Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

2%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
58%Racial/ethnic minority
54%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
17%Grade C
67%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within St. Mary's Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.1%Housing insecurity
3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
6.0%Food insecurity
4.6%SNAP enrollment
4.1%Transit barriers
3.6%No health insurance
12.7%Frequent mental distress
19.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in St. Mary's Park

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 41% over what the rest of San Francisco commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. Food insecurity runs 6.0% against 17.8% nationally.

10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Housing insecurity runs 6.1% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 0.8 points below the San Francisco County average of 9.5. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #4,888 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075021800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075021800?

Census tract 06075021800 in the St. Mary's Park neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075021800?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075021800?

2.5% of residents in tract 06075021800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,121.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075021800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 2th, minority 58th, housing 54th.

Is tract 06075021800 considered part of St. Mary's Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075021800 fall within St. Mary's Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075021800 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075021800 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075021800 scores 8.7/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075021800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 67% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.