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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally

St. Mary's Park Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075025402 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,294 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 06075025402 sits in the St. Mary's Park area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9/10. It is home to 3,294 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 16% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,087
Renter share32.0%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$173,352

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In St. Mary's Park
Low
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#196 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#190 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Low
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#1,820 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7369, -122.4128 · click any tract to drill in

Why St. Mary's Park scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,484 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How St. Mary's Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
St. Mary's Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.0This tracttract 0254029.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within St. Mary's Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in St. Mary's Park

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. Against San Francisco County at 37.3%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $173,352, annual rent is just 17%.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075025402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075025402?

Census tract 06075025402 in the St. Mary's Park neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075025402?

Median gross rent is $2,484/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075025402?

5.7% of residents in tract 06075025402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,294.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075025402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 58th, minority 79th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 06075025402 considered part of St. Mary's Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075025402 fall within St. Mary's Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075025402 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075025402 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075025402 scores 9/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06075025402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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