Census Tract · Ranked #947 of 84,120 nationally

Stockton Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06077000102 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 2,013

The Elevated-tier score of 7.1/10 for census tract 06077000102 reflects conditions in Stockton, California. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $732 monthly, set against $21,058 in average yearly household income, roughly 42% of income at the averages. Renters make up 100% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.6

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 48% Owners 0%

Tract context

Occupied units1,309

Renter share100.0%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate45.7%

Median income$21,058

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Stockton and the region

Centroid at 37.9559, -121.2859 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stockton scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Stockton

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

45.7% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$732 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Stockton

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Stockton

8.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Stockton

7.2

How Stockton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
7%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

33.9%Housing insecurity
22.7%Utility-shutoff threat
48.0%Food insecurity
53.2%SNAP enrollment
24.3%Transit barriers
22.0%No health insurance
22.7%Frequent mental distress
52.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stockton

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Stockton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077000102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077000102?

Census tract 06077000102 in Stockton scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077000102?

Median gross rent is $732/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077000102?

45.7% of residents in tract 06077000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,013.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077000102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 85th, minority 89th, housing 97th.

What share of households in tract 06077000102 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077000102 compare to Stockton overall?

Tract 06077000102 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Stockton at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stockton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06077000102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stockton

Top eight tracts in Stockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.