Santana Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The voucher gap is 27.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.8/10.

Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. Cost burden runs 42% here against 47.9% across San Joaquin County.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. At $2,217 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Tracy commands.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.