Edgewood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

The voucher gap is 58.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. At $2,747 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Tracy commands.

That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.