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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Tiburon Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

Tract 06077005220 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 2,270 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 06077005220 sits in the Tiburon Village area of Tracy, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 13% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units765
Renter share31.1%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$103,472

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Tiburon Village
Very High
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 23 tracts In Tracy
Moderate
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#141 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
Very Low
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#8,051 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tracy and the region

Centroid at 37.7168, -121.4226 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tiburon Village scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tracy
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,315 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tracy
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tracy
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tracy
5.3

How Tiburon Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tiburon Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0052206.6Tracyparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tiburon Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tiburon Village

The voucher gap is 33.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against San Joaquin County at 47.9%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.3/10. It sits 1.4 points below the San Joaquin County average of 6.8. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,315, close to the Tracy average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $103,472.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005220

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005220?

Census tract 06077005220 in the Tiburon Village neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077005220?

Median gross rent is $2,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005220?

3.3% of residents in tract 06077005220 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,270.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005220?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 39th, minority 84th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 06077005220 considered part of Tiburon Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06077005220 fall within Tiburon Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06077005220 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06077005220 compare to Tracy overall?

Tract 06077005220 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Tracy at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tracy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tracy

Top eight tracts in Tracy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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