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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Tiburon Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

Tract 06077005215 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 4,477 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 06077005215 covers part of the Tiburon Village area of Tracy, CA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,477. Cost burden runs about a quarter here against 47.9% across San Joaquin County.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 10% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,317
Renter share12.8%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$188,040

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Tiburon Village
Very Low
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 23 tracts In Tracy
Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#151 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#8,324 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tracy and the region

Centroid at 37.7075, -121.4114 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tiburon Village scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tracy
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,161 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tracy
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tracy
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tracy
5.3

How Tiburon Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tiburon Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0052156.6Tracyparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tiburon Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tiburon Village

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 82.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. At $3,161 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of Tracy commands. Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $188,040.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005215

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005215?

Census tract 06077005215 in the Tiburon Village neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077005215?

Median gross rent is $3,161/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005215?

3.2% of residents in tract 06077005215 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,477.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005215?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 50th, minority 74th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 06077005215 considered part of Tiburon Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06077005215 fall within Tiburon Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06077005215 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06077005215 compare to Tracy overall?

Tract 06077005215 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Tracy at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tracy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tracy

Top eight tracts in Tracy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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