Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Chaparral Eviction Risk: Lower , Tracy

Tract 06077005225 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,109 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

The Chaparral neighborhood of Tracy is where census tract 06077005225 sits, home to 3,109 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.2/10. That is riskier than about 81% of US census tracts.

About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,439 a month while the average household earns $105,531 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 32% Owners 27%

Tract context

Occupied units1,442

Renter share73.1%

SVI overall0.41

Poverty rate0.2%

Median income$105,531

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tracy and the region

Centroid at 37.7725, -121.4578 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chaparral scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tracy

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

0.2% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,439 rent vs county FMR

9.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tracy

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tracy

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tracy

5.3

How Chaparral compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.7%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
13.6%Food insecurity
10.0%SNAP enrollment
7.7%Transit barriers
9.5%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
26.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chaparral

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 9.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tracy, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005225

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005225?

Census tract 06077005225 in the Chaparral neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077005225?

Median gross rent is $2,439/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005225?

0.2% of residents in tract 06077005225 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,109.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005225?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 3th, minority 83th, housing 55th.

Is tract 06077005225 considered part of Chaparral?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06077005225 fall within Chaparral (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06077005225 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077005225 compare to Tracy overall?

Tract 06077005225 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Tracy at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tracy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tracy

Top eight tracts in Tracy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.