Chaparral Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the San Joaquin County average of 47.9%.

Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.