1 census tracts · pop 3,109 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10
· range 5.3–5.3
Chaparral is a one-tract neighborhood of Tracy, CA and houses 3,109 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Tracy baseline of 30.8%, 57% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The voucher gap is 40.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.1/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10.
73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 10%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. That places it #11 of 20 neighborhoods in Tracy.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Arnaudo Village and Harvest Glen. Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Average gross rent runs $2,439, close to the Tracy average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $105,531.
One tract means one number: 5.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chaparral vs TracyHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chaparral
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
12.7%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility shutoff threat
13.6%Food insecurity
10.0%SNAP enrollment
9.5%No health insurance
26.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Chaparral
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Chaparral?
Chaparral scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Chaparral compare to Tracy overall?
Chaparral scores 1.3 points lower than Tracy overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,439 vs $2,478.
Q3
What is the average rent in Chaparral?
Average gross rent in Chaparral is $2,439/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Chaparral residents are renters?
73% of Chaparral households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Tracy). The neighborhood has 3,109 residents.
Q5
Is Chaparral a high social-vulnerability area?
Chaparral sits in the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Chaparral for landlords?
Chaparral carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tracy as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Chaparral?
Chaparral has 3,291 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (39.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (23%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (21.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
