Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Evergreen Eviction Risk: Lower , Tracy

Tract 06077005309 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 2,727 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 06077005309 runs through the Evergreen neighborhood of Tracy. With 2,727 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,600 a month while the average household earns $105,904 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 19% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units1,054

Renter share30.6%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate6.5%

Median income$105,904

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tracy and the region

Centroid at 37.7470, -121.4212 · click any tract to drill in

Why Evergreen scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tracy

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.5% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$2,600 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tracy

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tracy

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tracy

5.3

How Evergreen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

46%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
34%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.8%Housing insecurity
10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
25.8%Food insecurity
22.4%SNAP enrollment
12.8%Transit barriers
17.5%No health insurance
18.9%Frequent mental distress
37.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Evergreen

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tracy, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005309

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005309?

Census tract 06077005309 in the Evergreen neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077005309?

Median gross rent is $2,600/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005309?

6.5% of residents in tract 06077005309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,727.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005309?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 95th, minority 73th, housing 34th.

Is tract 06077005309 considered part of Evergreen?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06077005309 fall within Evergreen (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06077005309 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077005309 compare to Tracy overall?

Tract 06077005309 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Tracy at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tracy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tracy

Top eight tracts in Tracy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.