Evergreen Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

The voucher gap is 49.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10.

Cost burden runs 38% here against 47.9% across San Joaquin County. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. Food insecurity runs 25.8% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 22.4% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.