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Neighborhood · Tracy, CA

Evergreen Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,727 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.7–5.7

Evergreen maps to a single census tract in Tracy, CA and houses 2,727 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.7/10, in the Moderate tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 10/10.

The voucher gap is 49.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.6/10.

Against a Tracy baseline of 30.8%, 38% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Severe burden reaches 12%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10.

Food insecurity affects 25.8% of adults, 8.0 points above the national rate. 17.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #7 of 20 neighborhoods in Tracy.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,600, close to the Tracy average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $105,904.

31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Evergreen vs Tracy How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.4% +25%
Tracy: 30.8%
Average gross rent
$2,600 +5%
Tracy: $2,478
Average HH income
$105,904 -10%
Tracy: $118,253
Poverty rate
6.5% -15%
Tracy: 7.7%
Renter share
30.7% -12%
Tracy: 35.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Evergreen and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.7–5.7

Why Evergreen scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
6.5% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Evergreen vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Evergreen score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7EvergreenNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Evergreen

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06077005309 5.7 2,727 38% $2,600
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 63

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 34%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Evergreen

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Evergreen

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Evergreen?

Evergreen scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Evergreen compare to Tracy overall?

Evergreen scores 0.9 points lower than Tracy overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,600 vs $2,478.
Q3

What is the average rent in Evergreen?

Average gross rent in Evergreen is $2,600/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Evergreen residents are renters?

31% of Evergreen households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Tracy). The neighborhood has 2,727 residents.
Q5

Is Evergreen a high social-vulnerability area?

Evergreen sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Evergreen for landlords?

Evergreen carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tracy as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Evergreen?

Evergreen has 3,246 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (60.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (37%), Black (non-Hispanic) (1.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Evergreen

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tracy

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Evergreen.

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