Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Rancho Pacific Eviction Risk: Lower , Tracy

Tract 06077005403 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 6,249 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Here is how census tract 06077005403, in Rancho Pacific in Tracy, looks to a landlord: a 6.4/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 6,249. That is riskier than about 86% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,280 a month against an average household income of $130,253 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 12% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units2,012

Renter share25.4%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate10.6%

Median income$130,253

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tracy and the region

Centroid at 37.7329, -121.4450 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rancho Pacific scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tracy

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.6% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$2,280 rent vs county FMR

8.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tracy

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tracy

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tracy

5.3

How Rancho Pacific compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

49%Socioeconomic
57%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.6%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
16.7%Food insecurity
13.6%SNAP enrollment
8.9%Transit barriers
10.4%No health insurance
16.7%Frequent mental distress
30.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rancho Pacific

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tracy, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005403

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005403?

Census tract 06077005403 in the Rancho Pacific neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077005403?

Median gross rent is $2,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005403?

10.6% of residents in tract 06077005403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,249.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 57th, minority 78th, housing 45th.

Is tract 06077005403 considered part of Rancho Pacific?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06077005403 fall within Rancho Pacific (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06077005403 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077005403 compare to Tracy overall?

Tract 06077005403 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Tracy at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tracy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tracy

Top eight tracts in Tracy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.