1 census tracts · pop 6,249 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
Rancho Pacific is a one-tract neighborhood of Tracy, CA and houses 6,249 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. Against a Tracy baseline of 30.8%, 53% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The voucher gap is 31.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 8.1/10. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.6/10. Average gross rent is $2,280, 8% below the Tracy average of $2,478.
Among the 20 mapped neighborhoods of Tracy, it ranks #9 by risk, the middle third. At 25% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $130,253.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Rancho Pacific vs TracyHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport45%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rancho Pacific
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.6%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility shutoff threat
16.7%Food insecurity
13.6%SNAP enrollment
10.4%No health insurance
30.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Rancho Pacific
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Rancho Pacific?
Rancho Pacific scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Rancho Pacific compare to Tracy overall?
Rancho Pacific scores 1.2 points lower than Tracy overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,280 vs $2,478.
Q3
What is the average rent in Rancho Pacific?
Average gross rent in Rancho Pacific is $2,280/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Rancho Pacific residents are renters?
25% of Rancho Pacific households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Tracy). The neighborhood has 6,249 residents.
Q5
Is Rancho Pacific a high social-vulnerability area?
Rancho Pacific sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Rancho Pacific for landlords?
Rancho Pacific carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tracy as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Rancho Pacific?
Rancho Pacific has 6,483 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (42.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (31.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
