Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Quail Run Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tracy

Tract 06077005405 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,862 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 06077005405 sits in the Quail Run area of Tracy, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. It is home to 3,862 residents. Cost burden runs 37% here against 47.9% across San Joaquin County.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 32% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units1,116

Renter share50.5%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate11.6%

Median income$80,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tracy and the region

Centroid at 37.7324, -121.4212 · click any tract to drill in

Why Quail Run scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tracy

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.6% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,968 rent vs county FMR

6.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tracy

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tracy

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tracy

5.3

How Quail Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.5%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
23.5%Food insecurity
19.4%SNAP enrollment
11.9%Transit barriers
15.4%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
34.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Quail Run

Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,968, 21% below the Tracy average.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.9/10. The voucher gap is 13.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the San Joaquin County average of 6.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $80,000. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005405

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005405?

Census tract 06077005405 in the Quail Run neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077005405?

Median gross rent is $1,968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005405?

11.6% of residents in tract 06077005405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,862.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 85th, minority 82th, housing 47th.

Is tract 06077005405 considered part of Quail Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06077005405 fall within Quail Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06077005405 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077005405 compare to Tracy overall?

Tract 06077005405 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Tracy at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tracy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tracy

Top eight tracts in Tracy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.