Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Quail Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

Tract 06077005405 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,862 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Quail Run area of Tracy is where census tract 06077005405 sits, home to 3,862 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #22,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,968 a month while the average household earns $80,000 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 32% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units1,116

Renter share50.5%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate11.6%

Median income$80,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tracy and the region

Centroid at 37.7324, -121.4212 · click any tract to drill in

Why Quail Run scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tracy

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.6% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,968 rent vs county FMR

6.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tracy

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tracy

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tracy

5.3

How Quail Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.5%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
23.5%Food insecurity
19.4%SNAP enrollment
11.9%Transit barriers
15.4%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
34.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Quail Run

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tracy, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005405

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005405?

Census tract 06077005405 in the Quail Run neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077005405?

Median gross rent is $1,968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005405?

11.6% of residents in tract 06077005405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,862.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 85th, minority 82th, housing 47th.

Is tract 06077005405 considered part of Quail Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06077005405 fall within Quail Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06077005405 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077005405 compare to Tracy overall?

Tract 06077005405 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Tracy at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tracy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tracy

Top eight tracts in Tracy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.