1 census tracts · pop 3,862 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.8/10
· range 6.8–6.8
Quail Run is a one-tract neighborhood of Tracy, CA and houses 3,862 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.8/10, Elevated tier. 16% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. 37% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Tracy rate of 30.8%. At $1,968 a month, rents sit 21% under what the rest of Tracy commands.
Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.9/10. The voucher gap is 13.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
Among the 20 mapped neighborhoods of Tracy, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Ryland Junction and Newport Place score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $80,000. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 6.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Quail Run vs TracyHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Quail Run
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
19.5%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility shutoff threat
23.5%Food insecurity
19.4%SNAP enrollment
15.4%No health insurance
34.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Quail Run
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Quail Run?
Quail Run scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Quail Run compare to Tracy overall?
Quail Run scores 0.2 points higher than Tracy overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,968 vs $2,478.
Q3
What is the average rent in Quail Run?
Average gross rent in Quail Run is $1,968/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Quail Run residents are renters?
51% of Quail Run households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Tracy). The neighborhood has 3,862 residents.
Q5
Is Quail Run a high social-vulnerability area?
Quail Run sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Quail Run for landlords?
Quail Run carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tracy as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Quail Run?
Quail Run has 3,740 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (54.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
