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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Ryland Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

Tract 06077005406 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,129 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.9/10 for census tract 06077005406 reflects conditions in Ryland Junction in Tracy, California. That is riskier than about 73% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,665 a month while the average household earns $76,087 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 29% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units998
Renter share52.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$76,087

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Ryland Junction
Moderate
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 23 tracts In Tracy
High
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#125 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#6,383 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tracy and the region

Centroid at 37.7327, -121.4305 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ryland Junction scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tracy
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,665 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tracy
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tracy
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tracy
5.3

How Ryland Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ryland Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 005406Tracy: 8.38.3Tracyparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ryland Junction

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tracy, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005406

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005406?

Census tract 06077005406 in the Ryland Junction neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077005406?

Median gross rent is $1,665/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005406?

8.2% of residents in tract 06077005406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,129.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005406?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 92th, minority 82th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 06077005406 considered part of Ryland Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06077005406 fall within Ryland Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06077005406 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06077005406 compare to Tracy overall?

Tract 06077005406 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Tracy at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tracy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tracy

Top eight tracts in Tracy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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