Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Ryland Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tracy

Tract 06077005406 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,129 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 06077005406 covers part of the Ryland Junction area of Tracy, CA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,129 residents. Average gross rent is $1,665, 33% below the Tracy average.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 29% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units998

Renter share52.4%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate8.2%

Median income$76,087

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tracy and the region

Centroid at 37.7327, -121.4305 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ryland Junction scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tracy

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.2% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$1,665 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tracy

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tracy

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tracy

5.3

How Ryland Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.6%Housing insecurity
9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
22.5%Food insecurity
18.8%SNAP enrollment
11.5%Transit barriers
14.2%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
33.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ryland Junction

The clearest offset is economic stress at 2/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10.

That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the San Joaquin County average of 6.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $76,087.

52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005406

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005406?

Census tract 06077005406 in the Ryland Junction neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077005406?

Median gross rent is $1,665/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005406?

8.2% of residents in tract 06077005406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,129.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005406?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 92th, minority 82th, housing 83th.

Is tract 06077005406 considered part of Ryland Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06077005406 fall within Ryland Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06077005406 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077005406 compare to Tracy overall?

Tract 06077005406 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Tracy at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tracy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tracy

Top eight tracts in Tracy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.