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Neighborhood · Tracy, CA

Ryland Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,129 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 6.6–6.6

Ryland Junction maps to a single census tract in Tracy, CA and houses 3,129 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.6/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 45% against 30.8% citywide, putting Ryland Junction 13.9% over its own city.

At $1,665 a month, rents sit 33% under what the rest of Tracy commands. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 2/10.

The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. Among the 20 mapped neighborhoods of Tracy, it ranks #4 by risk, the upper third.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $76,087. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ryland Junction vs Tracy How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.7% +45%
Tracy: 30.8%
Average gross rent
$1,665 -33%
Tracy: $2,478
Average HH income
$76,087 -36%
Tracy: $118,253
Poverty rate
8.2% +7%
Tracy: 7.7%
Renter share
52.4% +50%
Tracy: 35.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ryland Junction and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.6–6.6

Why Ryland Junction scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Ryland Junction vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ryland Junction score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.6Ryland JunctionNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Ryland Junction

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06077005406 6.6 3,129 45% $1,665
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 91

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 92%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ryland Junction

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ryland Junction

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ryland Junction?

Ryland Junction scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ryland Junction compare to Tracy overall?

Ryland Junction scores 0.0 points higher than Tracy overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,665 vs $2,478.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ryland Junction?

Average gross rent in Ryland Junction is $1,665/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ryland Junction residents are renters?

52% of Ryland Junction households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Tracy). The neighborhood has 3,129 residents.
Q5

Is Ryland Junction a high social-vulnerability area?

Ryland Junction sits in the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Ryland Junction for landlords?

Ryland Junction carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tracy as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Ryland Junction?

Ryland Junction has 3,140 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (46.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (24.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ryland Junction

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tracy

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ryland Junction.

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