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Neighborhood · Tracy, CA

Ryland Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,129 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Ryland Junction is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Tracy with 1 census tract and a population of 3,129 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,665/month sits 33% lower than the Tracy citywide average ($2,478).

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ryland Junction vs Tracy How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.7% +45%
Tracy: 30.8%
Average gross rent
$1,665 -33%
Tracy: $2,478
Average HH income
$76,087 -36%
Tracy: $118,253
Poverty rate
8.2% +7%
Tracy: 7.7%
Renter share
52.4% +50%
Tracy: 35.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ryland Junction and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Ryland Junction scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Ryland Junction vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ryland Junction score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Ryland Junction: 4.54.5Ryland JunctionNeighborhoodParent city: 8.38.3Parent cityhost cityState: 8.48.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Ryland Junction

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06077005406 4.5 3,129 45% $1,665
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 91

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 92%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ryland Junction

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ryland Junction

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ryland Junction?

Ryland Junction scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ryland Junction compare to Tracy overall?

Ryland Junction scores 3.8 points lower than Tracy overall (8.3/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,665 vs $2,478.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ryland Junction?

Average gross rent in Ryland Junction is $1,665/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ryland Junction residents are renters?

52% of Ryland Junction households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Tracy). The neighborhood has 3,129 residents.
Q5

Is Ryland Junction a high social-vulnerability area?

Ryland Junction sits in the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Ryland Junction for landlords?

Ryland Junction carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tracy as a whole (8.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Ryland Junction?

Ryland Junction has 3,140 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (46.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (24.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ryland Junction

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tracy

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ryland Junction.

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