Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Tanforan Eviction Risk: Lower , San Bruno
Tract 06081604102 · San Mateo, CA · pop 3,164 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Eviction risk in the Tanforan area of San Bruno centers on tract 06081604102, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,164 residents. On the national scale it ranks #35,051 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,683 a month against an average household income of $102,391 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 78% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,634
Renter share78.1%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$102,391
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Bruno and the region
Centroid at 37.6333, -122.4257 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tanforan scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Bruno
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,683 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Bruno
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Bruno
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Bruno
5.1
How Tanforan compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tanforan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 5.6%No health insurance
- 13.7%Frequent mental distress
- 21.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tanforan
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Bruno, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Mateo County average of 5.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081604102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081604102?
Census tract 06081604102 in the Tanforan neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081604102?
Median gross rent is $2,683/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081604102?
8.8% of residents in tract 06081604102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,164.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081604102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 18th, minority 84th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 06081604102 considered part of Tanforan?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081604102 fall within Tanforan (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081604102 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081604102 compare to San Bruno overall?
Tract 06081604102 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of San Bruno at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Bruno; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Bruno
Top eight tracts in San Bruno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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