Within neighborhood
38
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally
Tanforan Eviction Risk: Lower , San Bruno
Tract 06081604103 · San Mateo, CA · pop 4,344 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
The Tanforan neighborhood of San Bruno is where census tract 06081604103 sits, home to 4,344 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,593 a month while the average household earns $109,212 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,415
Renter share67.7%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$109,212
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
20
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Bruno and the region
Centroid at 37.6187, -122.4066 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tanforan scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Bruno
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,593 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Bruno
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Bruno
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Bruno
5.1
How Tanforan compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tanforan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.6%Food insecurity
- 13.2%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 12.2%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tanforan
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Bruno, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Mateo County average of 5.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081604103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081604103?
Census tract 06081604103 in the Tanforan neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081604103?
Median gross rent is $2,593/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081604103?
3.0% of residents in tract 06081604103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,344.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081604103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 62th, minority 86th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 06081604103 considered part of Tanforan?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081604103 fall within Tanforan (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081604103 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081604103 compare to San Bruno overall?
Tract 06081604103 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of San Bruno at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Bruno; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Bruno
Top eight tracts in San Bruno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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