Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Tanforan Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Bruno

Tract 06081604104 · San Mateo, CA · pop 3,862 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 06081604104 covers part of the Tanforan area of San Bruno, CA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,862. Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 31% Owners 39%

Tract context

Occupied units1,182

Renter share61.3%

SVI overall0.68

Poverty rate3.5%

Median income$125,064

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Bruno and the region

Centroid at 37.6290, -122.4139 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tanforan scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Bruno

8.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.9

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

3.5% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,187 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Bruno

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Bruno

7.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Bruno

5.1

How Tanforan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tanforan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.4%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
18.0%Food insecurity
12.4%SNAP enrollment
8.8%Transit barriers
12.5%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
27.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tanforan

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.4/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Average gross rent is $2,187, 21% below the San Bruno average.

Cost burden runs 49% here against 44.9% across San Mateo County. Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the San Mateo County average of 7.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $125,064.

61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081604104

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081604104?

Census tract 06081604104 in the Tanforan neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06081604104?

Median gross rent is $2,187/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081604104?

3.5% of residents in tract 06081604104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,862.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081604104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 43th, minority 87th, housing 61th.

Is tract 06081604104 considered part of Tanforan?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081604104 fall within Tanforan (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06081604104 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06081604104 compare to San Bruno overall?

Tract 06081604104 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of San Bruno at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Bruno; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Bruno

Top eight tracts in San Bruno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.