Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Devonshire Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Carlos
Tract 06081609000 ·
San Mateo, CA · pop 2,637 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 06081609000 sits in the Devonshire area of Belmont, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.4/10. Population here is 2,637. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the San Mateo County average of 44.9%.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 25%Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units966
Renter share34.2%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$172,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
86th percentile
#2 of 8 tracts In Devonshire
High
Within parent city
50th percentile
#3 of 5 tracts In San Carlos
Moderate
Within county
68th percentile
#56 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
Elevated
Within state
50th percentile
#4,555 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Carlos and the region
Centroid at 37.5134, -122.2803 · click any tract to drill in
Why Devonshire scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Carlos
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,112 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Carlos
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Carlos
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Carlos
4.4
How Devonshire compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
23%Socioeconomic
42%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
79%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Devonshire. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.6%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
9.3%Food insecurity
7.4%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
4.7%No health insurance
13.0%Frequent mental distress
24.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Devonshire
The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.
At $2,112 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Belmont commands. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10.
Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $172,571, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Mateo County average of 7.0 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081609000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081609000?
Census tract 06081609000 in the Devonshire neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081609000?
Median gross rent is $2,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081609000?
8.3% of residents in tract 06081609000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,637.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081609000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 42th, minority 68th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 06081609000 considered part of Devonshire?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081609000 fall within Devonshire (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081609000 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081609000 compare to San Carlos overall?
Tract 06081609000 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of San Carlos at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Carlos; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Carlos
Top eight tracts in San Carlos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.