Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

Devonshire Eviction Risk: Lower , San Carlos

Tract 06081609202 · San Mateo, CA · pop 5,172 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 06081609202 covers the Devonshire area of San Carlos in California. Home to 5,172 residents, it scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 27th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,615 monthly, set against $168,295 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

2.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 46% Owners 32%

Tract context

Occupied units2,202

Renter share67.8%

SVI overall0.43

Poverty rate7.1%

Median income$168,295

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Carlos and the region

Centroid at 37.5078, -122.2659 · click any tract to drill in

Why Devonshire scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Carlos

8.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.9

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.1% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$2,615 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Carlos

4.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Carlos

6.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Carlos

3.4

How Devonshire compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

15%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Devonshire. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.4%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
10.9%Food insecurity
8.9%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
5.6%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
22.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Devonshire

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Carlos, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the San Mateo County average of 5.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081609202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081609202?

Census tract 06081609202 in the Devonshire neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06081609202?

Median gross rent is $2,615/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081609202?

7.1% of residents in tract 06081609202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,172.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081609202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 43th, minority 68th, housing 77th.

Is tract 06081609202 considered part of Devonshire?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081609202 fall within Devonshire (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06081609202 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06081609202 compare to San Carlos overall?

Tract 06081609202 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of San Carlos at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Carlos; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Carlos

Top eight tracts in San Carlos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.