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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Devonshire Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Carlos

Tract 06081609202 · San Mateo, CA · pop 5,172 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 6.3/10, tract 06081609202 in the Devonshire area of San Carlos, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the San Mateo County average of 44.9%.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 46% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units2,202
Renter share67.8%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$168,295

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Devonshire
Moderate
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In San Carlos
High
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#148 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#6,559 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Carlos and the region

Centroid at 37.5078, -122.2659 · click any tract to drill in

Why Devonshire scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Carlos
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,615 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Carlos
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Carlos
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Carlos
3.4

How Devonshire compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Devonshire risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.3This tracttract 6092026.5San Carlosparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Devonshire. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Devonshire

The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 1.4/10. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.1/10.

It sits 0.7 points below the San Mateo County average of 7.0. At $2,615 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of San Carlos commands. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $168,295.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081609202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081609202?

Census tract 06081609202 in the Devonshire neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06081609202?

Median gross rent is $2,615/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081609202?

7.1% of residents in tract 06081609202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,172.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081609202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 43th, minority 68th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 06081609202 considered part of Devonshire?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081609202 fall within Devonshire (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06081609202 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06081609202 compare to San Carlos overall?

Tract 06081609202 scores 6.3/10, right in line with the parent city of San Carlos at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Carlos; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Carlos

Top eight tracts in San Carlos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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