Crescent Park Eviction Risk: High , East Palo Alto
Tract 06081612002 ·
San Mateo, CA · pop 2,941 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 06081612002 sits in the Crescent Park area of East Palo Alto, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. It is home to 2,941 residents. Cost burden runs 73% here against 44.9% across San Mateo County.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%Stable renters 15%Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units843
Renter share55.2%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$87,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 4 tracts In Crescent Park
Very High
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 7 tracts In East Palo Alto
Very High
Within county
99th percentile
#2 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
Very High
Within state
85th percentile
#1,347 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Palo Alto and the region
Centroid at 37.4666, -122.1428 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crescent Park scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Palo Alto
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,288 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Palo Alto
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Palo Alto
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Palo Alto
7.0
How Crescent Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
68%Socioeconomic
72%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
89%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Crescent Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
20.5%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
23.9%Food insecurity
18.3%SNAP enrollment
11.9%Transit barriers
16.4%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crescent Park
Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.
It sits 2.3 points above the San Mateo County average of 7.0. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10.
Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $2,288, close to the East Palo Alto average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $87,750.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081612002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081612002?
Census tract 06081612002 in the Crescent Park neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081612002?
Median gross rent is $2,288/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081612002?
13.4% of residents in tract 06081612002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,941.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081612002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 72th, minority 90th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 06081612002 considered part of Crescent Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081612002 fall within Crescent Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081612002 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081612002 compare to East Palo Alto overall?
Tract 06081612002 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of East Palo Alto at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Palo Alto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Palo Alto
Top eight tracts in East Palo Alto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.