Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

Upper State Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santa Barbara

Tract 06083000201 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 2,656 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Eviction risk in the Upper State neighborhood of Santa Barbara centers on tract 06083000201, which scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,656 residents. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

73% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,477 monthly, set against $86,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 14% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units1,303

Renter share52.0%

SVI overall0.23

Poverty rate13.0%

Median income$86,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Barbara and the region

Centroid at 34.4342, -119.7301 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper State scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Barbara

6.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

13.0% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$2,477 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Barbara

7.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Barbara

9.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Barbara

7.0

How Upper State compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

29%Socioeconomic
9%Household composition
10%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Upper State. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.4%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
7.4%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
4.7%Transit barriers
5.7%No health insurance
11.8%Frequent mental distress
32.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper State

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Santa Barbara, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Santa Barbara County average of 5.5 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06083000201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083000201?

Census tract 06083000201 in the Upper State neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06083000201?

Median gross rent is $2,477/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06083000201?

13.0% of residents in tract 06083000201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,656.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06083000201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 9th, minority 10th, housing 55th.

Is tract 06083000201 considered part of Upper State?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06083000201 fall within Upper State (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06083000201 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06083000201 compare to Santa Barbara overall?

Tract 06083000201 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Barbara at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Barbara; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Barbara

Top eight tracts in Santa Barbara ranked by composite eviction-risk score.