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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Upper State Eviction Risk: Moderate , Santa Barbara

Tract 06083000502 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 5,395 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

For landlords sizing up Upper State in Santa Barbara, census tract 06083000502 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

30% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,804 a month while the average household earns $158,203 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 22% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,185
Renter share31.9%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$158,203

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Upper State
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 25 tracts In Santa Barbara
Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 108 tracts In Santa Barbara
Moderate
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#5,035 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Barbara and the region

Centroid at 34.4445, -119.7292 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper State scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Santa Barbara
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,804 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Santa Barbara
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Santa Barbara
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Santa Barbara
7.0

How Upper State compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Upper State risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 000502Santa Barbara: 8.18.1Santa Barbaraparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Upper State. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper State

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Santa Barbara, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Santa Barbara County average of 5.5 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06083000502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083000502?

Census tract 06083000502 in the Upper State neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06083000502?

Median gross rent is $2,804/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06083000502?

7.9% of residents in tract 06083000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,395.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06083000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 8th, minority 30th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 06083000502 considered part of Upper State?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06083000502 fall within Upper State (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06083000502 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06083000502 compare to Santa Barbara overall?

Tract 06083000502 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Barbara at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Barbara; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Barbara

Top eight tracts in Santa Barbara ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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