Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Upper State Eviction Risk: Moderate , Santa Barbara

Tract 06083000202 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 2,405 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Upper State neighborhood of Santa Barbara anchors census tract 06083000202, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #25,736 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,288 a month against an average household income of $121,250 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 27% Owners 43%

Tract context

Occupied units940

Renter share56.5%

SVI overall0.59

Poverty rate11.4%

Median income$121,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Barbara and the region

Centroid at 34.4353, -119.7419 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper State scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Barbara

6.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.4% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$2,288 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Barbara

7.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Barbara

9.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Barbara

7.0

How Upper State compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Upper State. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.1%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
11.7%Food insecurity
10.0%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
15.0%Frequent mental distress
29.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper State

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Santa Barbara, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Santa Barbara County average of 5.5 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06083000202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083000202?

Census tract 06083000202 in the Upper State neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06083000202?

Median gross rent is $2,288/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06083000202?

11.4% of residents in tract 06083000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,405.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06083000202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 58th, minority 56th, housing 87th.

Is tract 06083000202 considered part of Upper State?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06083000202 fall within Upper State (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06083000202 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06083000202 compare to Santa Barbara overall?

Tract 06083000202 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Barbara at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Barbara; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Barbara

Top eight tracts in Santa Barbara ranked by composite eviction-risk score.