Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Mission Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santa Cruz

Tract 06087100300 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 3,741 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 7.5/10, tract 06087100300 in the Mission Hill Historic District area of Santa Cruz, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,741. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 13% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units1,342

Renter share26.8%

SVI overall0.48

Poverty rate14.0%

Median income$137,806

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region

Centroid at 36.9944, -122.0431 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mission Hill Historic District scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Cruz

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

14.0% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$2,323 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Cruz

9.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.5

How Mission Hill Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

37%Socioeconomic
32%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mission Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.5%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
10.1%Food insecurity
8.8%SNAP enrollment
6.6%Transit barriers
5.1%No health insurance
15.9%Frequent mental distress
26.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mission Hill Historic District

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.7 points above the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. 50% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $2,323, close to the Santa Cruz average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $137,806.

27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087100300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087100300?

Census tract 06087100300 in the Mission Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06087100300?

Median gross rent is $2,323/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087100300?

14.0% of residents in tract 06087100300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,741.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087100300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 32th, minority 49th, housing 72th.

Is tract 06087100300 considered part of Mission Hill Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087100300 fall within Mission Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06087100300 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06087100300 compare to Santa Cruz overall?

Tract 06087100300 scores 7.5/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Cruz at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Cruz; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Cruz

Top eight tracts in Santa Cruz ranked by composite eviction-risk score.