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Neighborhood · Santa Cruz, CA

Mission Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

7 census tracts · pop 23,630 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 5.5–8.3

Mission Hill Historic District is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Santa Cruz with 7 census tracts and a population of 23,630 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 52% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 33% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,164/month sits 12% lower than the Santa Cruz citywide average ($2,452).

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
7 tracts · population-weighted
Mission Hill Historic District vs Santa Cruz How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.8% +59%
Santa Cruz: 32.5%
Average gross rent
$2,164 -12%
Santa Cruz: $2,452
Average HH income
$96,634 -13%
Santa Cruz: $111,427
Poverty rate
16.8% -5%
Santa Cruz: 17.6%
Renter share
59.0% +14%
Santa Cruz: 51.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mission Hill Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 5.5–8.3

Why Mission Hill Historic District scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
59% renter households · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts
9.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
16.8% below poverty line · Range 1.5–7.0 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.5 across tracts
1.1
Risk score comparison

Mission Hill Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mission Hill Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Mission Hill Histo: 6.76.7Mission Hill HistoNeighborhoodParent city: 8.48.4Parent cityhost cityState: 8.48.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Mission Hill Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.8 points from 5.5 to 8.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

7 tracts in Mission Hill Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06087101002 8.3 4,041 60% $1,979
06087101001 7.8 3,752 59% $2,301
06087100700 7.3 2,094 51% $1,537
06087100801 6.6 3,926 51% $2,207
06087100300 5.8 3,741 50% $2,323
06087100802 5.6 3,013 41% $1,848
06087100600 5.5 3,063 46% $2,732
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 48%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 16%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 77%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mission Hill Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Mission Hill Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mission Hill Historic District?

Mission Hill Historic District scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mission Hill Historic District compare to Santa Cruz overall?

Mission Hill Historic District scores 1.7 points lower than Santa Cruz overall (8.4/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,164 vs $2,452.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mission Hill Historic District?

Average gross rent in Mission Hill Historic District is $2,164/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mission Hill Historic District residents are renters?

59% of Mission Hill Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Santa Cruz). The neighborhood has 23,630 residents.
Q5

Is Mission Hill Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Mission Hill Historic District sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Mission Hill Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mission Hill Historic District is census tract 06087101002 (score 8.3/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.5 to 8.3, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Mission Hill Historic District for landlords?

Mission Hill Historic District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Santa Cruz as a whole (8.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Mission Hill Historic District?

Mission Hill Historic District has 24,120 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.4%), Hispanic / Latino (21.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mission Hill Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Santa Cruz

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mission Hill Historic District.

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