Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Mission Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Santa Cruz

Tract 06087100802 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 3,013 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

The Mission Hill Historic District area of Santa Cruz anchors census tract 06087100802, which lands at 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 58% of US census tracts.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,848 a month against an average household income of $149,875 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 35% Owners 41%

Tract context

Occupied units1,338

Renter share58.9%

SVI overall0.27

Poverty rate11.4%

Median income$149,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region

Centroid at 36.9730, -122.0116 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mission Hill Historic District scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Cruz

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.4% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,848 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Cruz

9.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.5

How Mission Hill Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mission Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.8%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
9.2%Food insecurity
8.7%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
4.9%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
24.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mission Hill Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Santa Cruz, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087100802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087100802?

Census tract 06087100802 in the Mission Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06087100802?

Median gross rent is $1,848/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087100802?

11.4% of residents in tract 06087100802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,013.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087100802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 4th, minority 36th, housing 61th.

Is tract 06087100802 considered part of Mission Hill Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087100802 fall within Mission Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06087100802 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06087100802 compare to Santa Cruz overall?

Tract 06087100802 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Cruz at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Cruz; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Cruz

Top eight tracts in Santa Cruz ranked by composite eviction-risk score.