Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Mission Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santa Cruz

Tract 06087100802 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 3,013 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 06087100802 sits in the Mission Hill Historic District area of Santa Cruz, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It is home to 3,013 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 35% Owners 41%

Tract context

Occupied units1,338

Renter share58.9%

SVI overall0.27

Poverty rate11.4%

Median income$149,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region

Centroid at 36.9730, -122.0116 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mission Hill Historic District scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Cruz

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.4% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,848 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Cruz

9.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.5

How Mission Hill Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mission Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.8%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
9.2%Food insecurity
8.7%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
4.9%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
24.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mission Hill Historic District

Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. At $1,848 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Santa Cruz commands.

Cost burden runs 41% here against 48.5% across Santa Cruz County. Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $149,875, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087100802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087100802?

Census tract 06087100802 in the Mission Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06087100802?

Median gross rent is $1,848/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087100802?

11.4% of residents in tract 06087100802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,013.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087100802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 4th, minority 36th, housing 61th.

Is tract 06087100802 considered part of Mission Hill Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087100802 fall within Mission Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06087100802 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06087100802 compare to Santa Cruz overall?

Tract 06087100802 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Cruz at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Cruz; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Cruz

Top eight tracts in Santa Cruz ranked by composite eviction-risk score.