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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Capitola Esplanade Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06087122005 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 4,220 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 06087122005 covers part of the Capitola Esplanade area of Soquel, CA, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,220. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 1.2/10.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 20% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,724
Renter share38.1%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$117,764

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Capitola Esplanade
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Capitola
Moderate
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 69 tracts In Santa Cruz
Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#7,527 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Capitola and the region

Centroid at 36.9859, -121.9451 · click any tract to drill in

Why Capitola Esplanade scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Capitola
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,898 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Capitola
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Capitola
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Capitola
4.9

How Capitola Esplanade compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Capitola Esplanade risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 1220057.3Capitolaparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Capitola Esplanade. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Capitola Esplanade

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $2,898 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of Soquel commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Against the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.4/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $117,764. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087122005

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087122005?

Census tract 06087122005 in the Capitola Esplanade neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06087122005?

Median gross rent is $2,898/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087122005?

7.8% of residents in tract 06087122005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,220.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087122005?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 37th, minority 51th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 06087122005 considered part of Capitola Esplanade?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087122005 fall within Capitola Esplanade (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06087122005 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06087122005 compare to Capitola overall?

Tract 06087122005 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Capitola at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Capitola; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Capitola

Top eight tracts in Capitola ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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