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Neighborhood · Capitola, CA

Capitola Esplanade Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 18,983 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 3.3–6.3

Capitola Esplanade is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Capitola with 6 census tracts and a population of 18,983 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 40% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,533/month sits 1% higher than the Capitola citywide average ($2,512).

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Capitola Esplanade vs Capitola How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.3% +43%
Capitola: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$2,533 +1%
Capitola: $2,512
Average HH income
$105,352 +9%
Capitola: $96,412
Poverty rate
11.5% -17%
Capitola: 13.9%
Renter share
41.3% -14%
Capitola: 47.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Capitola Esplanade and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 3.3–6.3

Why Capitola Esplanade scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.8–8.2 across tracts
7.9
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 4.2–6.8 across tracts
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.9 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 4.0–9.1 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.3–6.2 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
11.5% below poverty line · Range 1.9–3.5 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.4 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

Capitola Esplanade vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Capitola Esplanade score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Capitola Esplanade: 4.94.9Capitola EsplanadeNeighborhoodParent city: 8.08.0Parent cityhost cityState: 8.48.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Capitola Esplanade?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 3 points from 3.3 to 6.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Capitola Esplanade

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06087121701 6.3 4,572 48% $2,396
06087121802 6.2 2,366 46% $2,170
06087121801 6 1,748 39% $2,309
06087121602 4.4 2,685 26% $1,896
06087121702 4.1 3,392 28% $3,135
06087122005 3.3 4,220 48% $2,898
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 51

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Capitola Esplanade

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Capitola Esplanade

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Capitola Esplanade?

Capitola Esplanade scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Capitola Esplanade compare to Capitola overall?

Capitola Esplanade scores 3.1 points lower than Capitola overall (8/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,533 vs $2,512.
Q3

What is the average rent in Capitola Esplanade?

Average gross rent in Capitola Esplanade is $2,533/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Capitola Esplanade residents are renters?

41% of Capitola Esplanade households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Capitola). The neighborhood has 18,983 residents.
Q5

Is Capitola Esplanade a high social-vulnerability area?

Capitola Esplanade sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Capitola Esplanade have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Capitola Esplanade is census tract 06087121701 (score 6.3/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 6.3, a spread of 3 points.
Q7

How safe is Capitola Esplanade for landlords?

Capitola Esplanade carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Capitola as a whole (8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Capitola Esplanade?

Capitola Esplanade has 18,354 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62%), Hispanic / Latino (28.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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