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Neighborhood · Capitola, CA

Capitola Esplanade Eviction Risk: Elevated

6 census tracts · pop 18,983 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.8/10 · range 5.7–7.8

Capitola Esplanade spans 6 census tracts of Capitola, CA, population 18,983. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.8/10, Elevated tier. 40% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Capitola rate of 28.2%.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.7 to 7.8, a 2.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.9/10.

Average gross rent runs $2,533, close to the Capitola average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $105,352. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
6 tracts · population-weighted
Capitola Esplanade vs Capitola How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.3% +43%
Capitola: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$2,533 +1%
Capitola: $2,512
Average HH income
$105,352 +9%
Capitola: $96,412
Poverty rate
11.5% -17%
Capitola: 13.9%
Renter share
41.3% -14%
Capitola: 47.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Capitola Esplanade and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 5.7–7.8

Why Capitola Esplanade scores 6.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.8–8.2 across tracts
7.9
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 4.2–6.8 across tracts
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.9 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 4.0–9.1 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.3–6.2 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
11.5% below poverty line · Range 1.9–3.5 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.4 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

Capitola Esplanade vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Capitola Esplanade score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.8Capitola EsplanadeNeighborhood7.3Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Capitola Esplanade?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.1 points from 5.7 to 7.8. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Capitola Esplanade

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06087121701 7.8 4,572 48% $2,396
06087121802 7.6 2,366 46% $2,170
06087121801 7.3 1,748 39% $2,309
06087121602 6.8 2,685 26% $1,896
06087121702 5.9 3,392 28% $3,135
06087122005 5.7 4,220 48% $2,898
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 51

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Capitola Esplanade

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Capitola Esplanade

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Capitola Esplanade?

Capitola Esplanade scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Capitola Esplanade compare to Capitola overall?

Capitola Esplanade scores 0.5 points lower than Capitola overall (7.3/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,533 vs $2,512.
Q3

What is the average rent in Capitola Esplanade?

Average gross rent in Capitola Esplanade is $2,533/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Capitola Esplanade residents are renters?

41% of Capitola Esplanade households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Capitola). The neighborhood has 18,983 residents.
Q5

Is Capitola Esplanade a high social-vulnerability area?

Capitola Esplanade sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Capitola Esplanade have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Capitola Esplanade is census tract 06087121701 (score 7.8/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 7.8, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Capitola Esplanade for landlords?

Capitola Esplanade carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.8/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Capitola as a whole (7.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Capitola Esplanade?

Capitola Esplanade has 18,354 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62%), Hispanic / Latino (28.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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