Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Capitola Esplanade Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06087121801 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 1,748 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 06087121801 in the Capitola Esplanade area of Capitola ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,748 residents. That is riskier than about 43% of US census tracts.
About 39% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,309 monthly, set against $96,701 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units774
Renter share65.4%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$96,701
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Capitola and the region
Centroid at 36.9767, -121.9431 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitola Esplanade scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Capitola
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,309 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Capitola
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Capitola
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Capitola
6.2
How Capitola Esplanade compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Capitola Esplanade. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 8.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitola Esplanade
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Capitola, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121801?
Census tract 06087121801 in the Capitola Esplanade neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121801?
Median gross rent is $2,309/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121801?
9.7% of residents in tract 06087121801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,748.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 85th, minority 39th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121801 considered part of Capitola Esplanade?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121801 fall within Capitola Esplanade (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121801 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06087121801 compare to Capitola overall?
Tract 06087121801 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Capitola at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Capitola; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Capitola
Top eight tracts in Capitola ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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