Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Capitola Esplanade Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06087121801 ·
Santa Cruz, CA · pop 1,748 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 06087121801 sits in the Capitola Esplanade area of Capitola, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%Stable renters 40%Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units774
Renter share65.4%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$96,701
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60th percentile
#3 of 6 tracts In Capitola Esplanade
Elevated
Within parent city
0th percentile
#3 of 3 tracts In Capitola
Very Low
Within county
60th percentile
#28 of 69 tracts In Santa Cruz
Elevated
Within state
48th percentile
#4,738 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Capitola and the region
Centroid at 36.9767, -121.9431 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitola Esplanade scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Capitola
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,309 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Capitola
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Capitola
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Capitola
6.2
How Capitola Esplanade compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
17%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
39%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Capitola Esplanade. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.0%Housing insecurity
4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
9.2%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
5.8%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitola Esplanade
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. Cost burden runs 39% here against 48.5% across Santa Cruz County.
This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,309, 8% below the Capitola average.
That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121801?
Census tract 06087121801 in the Capitola Esplanade neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121801?
Median gross rent is $2,309/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121801?
9.7% of residents in tract 06087121801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,748.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 85th, minority 39th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121801 considered part of Capitola Esplanade?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121801 fall within Capitola Esplanade (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121801 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06087121801 compare to Capitola overall?
Tract 06087121801 scores 7.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Capitola at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Capitola; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Capitola
Top eight tracts in Capitola ranked by composite eviction-risk score.