Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Capitola Esplanade Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06087121702 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 3,392 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
In Capitola Esplanade in Capitola, census tract 06087121702 scores 4.1/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 27th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
28% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,135 a month against an average household income of $119,506 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,339
Renter share26.8%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$119,506
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Capitola and the region
Centroid at 36.9748, -121.9698 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitola Esplanade scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Capitola
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$3,135 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Capitola
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Capitola
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Capitola
5.0
How Capitola Esplanade compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Capitola Esplanade. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 10.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitola Esplanade
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Capitola, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121702?
Census tract 06087121702 in the Capitola Esplanade neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121702?
Median gross rent is $3,135/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121702?
13.4% of residents in tract 06087121702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,392.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 21th, minority 54th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121702 considered part of Capitola Esplanade?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121702 fall within Capitola Esplanade (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121702 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06087121702 compare to Capitola overall?
Tract 06087121702 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Capitola at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Capitola; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Capitola
Top eight tracts in Capitola ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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