Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Montgomery Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Santa Rosa

Tract 06097152203 · Sonoma, CA · pop 3,362 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

For landlords sizing up the Montgomery Village neighborhood of Santa Rosa, census tract 06097152203 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #31,829 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,640 a month against an average household income of $75,451 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 33% Owners 36%

Tract context

Occupied units1,796

Renter share64.9%

SVI overall0.49

Poverty rate7.8%

Median income$75,451

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Rosa and the region

Centroid at 38.4483, -122.7070 · click any tract to drill in

Why Montgomery Village scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Rosa

7.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.8% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,640 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Rosa

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Rosa

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Rosa

6.1

How Montgomery Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

37%Socioeconomic
56%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Montgomery Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.8%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
11.0%Food insecurity
10.8%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
29.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Montgomery Village

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Santa Rosa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sonoma County average of 5.5 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06097152203

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097152203?

Census tract 06097152203 in the Montgomery Village neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06097152203?

Median gross rent is $1,640/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06097152203?

7.8% of residents in tract 06097152203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,362.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06097152203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 56th, minority 49th, housing 60th.

Is tract 06097152203 considered part of Montgomery Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06097152203 fall within Montgomery Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06097152203 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06097152203 compare to Santa Rosa overall?

Tract 06097152203 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Rosa at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Rosa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Rosa

Top eight tracts in Santa Rosa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.