Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Waterford Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06099002801 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 5,851 · 36% of tract blocks fall in Waterford
Census tract 06099002801 covers part of Waterford, CA, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,851 residents. Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 47.5% across Stanislaus County.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,713
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$94,013
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waterford and the region
Centroid at 37.6846, -120.6258 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterford scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waterford
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,625 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waterford
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waterford
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waterford
5.7
How Waterford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.1%Food insecurity
- 20.0%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 13.5%No health insurance
- 20.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterford
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely. Average gross rent is $1,625, close to the Waterford average.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $94,013. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099002801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002801?
Census tract 06099002801 in Waterford scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099002801?
Median gross rent is $1,625/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002801?
15.4% of residents in tract 06099002801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,851.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 76th, minority 67th, housing 53th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099002801 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099002801 compare to Waterford overall?
Tract 06099002801 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Waterford at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waterford; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waterford
Top eight tracts in Waterford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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