Census Tract · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally

Turlock Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099003906 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 5,313 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Turlock

The Elevated-tier score of 6.4/10 for census tract 06099003906 reflects conditions in Turlock, California. On the national scale it ranks #12,144 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,395 monthly, set against $52,467 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 78% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 40% Owners 22%

Tract context

Occupied units1,993

Renter share78.2%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate24.0%

Median income$52,467

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Turlock and the region

Centroid at 37.5053, -120.8421 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turlock scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Turlock

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

24.0% poverty · this tract

6.0

Supply constraint

$1,395 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Turlock

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Turlock

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Turlock

6.5

How Turlock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.0%Housing insecurity
13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
29.4%Food insecurity
30.9%SNAP enrollment
15.7%Transit barriers
16.7%No health insurance
22.2%Frequent mental distress
41.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turlock

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Turlock, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099003906

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003906?

Census tract 06099003906 in Turlock scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06099003906?

Median gross rent is $1,395/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003906?

24.0% of residents in tract 06099003906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,313.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003906?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 92th, minority 72th, housing 84th.

What share of households in tract 06099003906 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06099003906 compare to Turlock overall?

Tract 06099003906 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of Turlock at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Turlock; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Turlock

Top eight tracts in Turlock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.