Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Willow Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aurora
Tract 08005081200 · Arapahoe County, CO · pop 5,312 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 08005081200 covers part of the Willow Park area of Aurora, CO, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,312. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,903
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$69,502
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aurora and the region
Centroid at 39.6894, -104.8241 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willow Park scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aurora
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,805 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
How Willow Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 720Total filings over 5 yrs
- 16.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.1%Peak (2010)
- 105Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Willow Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willow Park
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Against the Arapahoe County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Cost burden runs 56% here against 50.1% across Arapahoe County.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 720 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 26.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 16.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,805, close to the Aurora average.
Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $69,502. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 08005081200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08005081200?
Census tract 08005081200 in the Willow Park neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08005081200?
Median gross rent is $1,805/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08005081200?
15.1% of residents in tract 08005081200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,312.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08005081200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 82th, minority 83th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 08005081200 considered part of Willow Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08005081200 fall within Willow Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08005081200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 720 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 08005081200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.03% of renter households, peaking at 26.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08005081200 compare to Aurora overall?
Tract 08005081200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aurora
Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
Willow Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Aurora Hills Golf Course
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Aurora Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Chambers Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Centretech
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Aurora Highlands
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Centerpoint
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08001007801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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