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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Aurora

Tract 08005081300 · Arapahoe County, CO · pop 2,890 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Tract 08005081300 sits in the Willow Park area of Aurora eviction risk, CO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. Population here is 2,890. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 15% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units976
Renter share25.8%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$122,651

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Willow Park
Very Low
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#80 of 90 tracts In Aurora
Very Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#114 of 161 tracts In Arapahoe County
Low
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#1,145 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 39.6899, -104.8149 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Park scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,068 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
5.0

How Willow Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Willow Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 081300Aurora: 4.64.6Auroraparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 294Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.7%Peak (2012)
  • 57Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 080050813002010: 49 filings (12.93/100 renter HHs)2011: 61 filings (13.41/100 renter HHs)2012: 76 filings (16.70/100 renter HHs)2016: 51 filings (12.59/100 renter HHs)2017: 57 filings (14.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 16% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Willow Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Park

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Against Arapahoe County at 50.1%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.2 points below the Arapahoe County average of 4.7.

The filing record is not thin: 294 evictions over 5 years of observation. At $2,068 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Aurora commands. Filings peaked in 2012 at 16.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 13.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $122,651. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 08005081300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08005081300?

Census tract 08005081300 in the Willow Park neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08005081300?

Median gross rent is $2,068/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08005081300?

4.0% of residents in tract 08005081300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,890.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08005081300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 91th, minority 73th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 08005081300 considered part of Willow Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08005081300 fall within Willow Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08005081300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 294 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 08005081300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.94% of renter households, peaking at 16.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08005081300 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 08005081300 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Aurora at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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