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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aurora

Tract 08005081102 · Arapahoe County, CO · pop 2,365 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 08005081102 covers part of the Willow Park area of Aurora, CO, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 15% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,147
Renter share47.2%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$44,705

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Willow Park
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 90 tracts In Aurora
High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 161 tracts In Arapahoe County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#287 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 39.6986, -104.8146 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Park scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,528 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
5.0

How Willow Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Willow Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 081102Aurora: 4.64.6Auroraparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Willow Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Park

69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Arapahoe County average of 50.1%. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $44,705, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Arapahoe County average of 4.7.

Average gross rent is $1,528, 17% below the Aurora average. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.6% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08005081102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08005081102?

Census tract 08005081102 in the Willow Park neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08005081102?

Median gross rent is $1,528/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08005081102?

16.6% of residents in tract 08005081102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,365.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08005081102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 97th, minority 80th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 08005081102 considered part of Willow Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08005081102 fall within Willow Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 08005081102 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 08005081102 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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