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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Arapahoe Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boulder

Tract 08013012603 · Boulder County, CO · pop 3,389 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 08013012603 covers part of the Arapahoe Ridge area of Boulder, CO, and scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,389 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9.5/10.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 14% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,419
Renter share31.0%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$148,906

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Arapahoe Ridge
Very High
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 30 tracts In Boulder
Very Low
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#37 of 78 tracts In Boulder County
Moderate
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#270 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boulder and the region

Centroid at 40.0083, -105.2320 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arapahoe Ridge scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boulder
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,642 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boulder
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boulder
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boulder
8.0

How Arapahoe Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arapahoe Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 0126037.4Boulderparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.4%Peak (2002)
  • 2Filings in 2002 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arapahoe Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arapahoe Ridge

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $2,642 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Boulder commands.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10. The voucher gap is 28.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 18.5% against 31.5% nationally. Court records carry 2 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 0.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 0.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 79th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 08013012603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08013012603?

Census tract 08013012603 in the Arapahoe Ridge neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08013012603?

Median gross rent is $2,642/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08013012603?

5.8% of residents in tract 08013012603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,389.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08013012603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 4th, minority 29th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 08013012603 considered part of Arapahoe Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08013012603 fall within Arapahoe Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08013012603?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08013012603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.39% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08013012603 compare to Boulder overall?

Tract 08013012603 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Boulder at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boulder eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boulder

Top eight tracts in Boulder ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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