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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

East Aurora Eviction Risk: High , Boulder

Tract 08013012609 · Boulder County, CO · pop 1,417 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 08013012609 sits in the East Aurora area of Boulder eviction risk, CO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.8/10. Population here is 1,417. The severe-burden share is 72%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 71% Stable renters 13% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units756
Renter share84.0%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate50.6%
Median income$26,760

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In East Aurora
Moderate
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 30 tracts In Boulder
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 78 tracts In Boulder County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boulder and the region

Centroid at 40.0037, -105.2508 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Aurora scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boulder
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
50.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,771 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boulder
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boulder
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boulder
8.0

How East Aurora compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Aurora risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.8This tracttract 0126097.4Boulderparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Aurora. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Aurora

Against Boulder County at 52.5%, 84% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 79% of average household income of $26,760, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Boulder County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 3.0 points.

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 51%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, local political climate reads 9.5/10. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,771, 12% below the Boulder average.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 3.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 08013012609

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08013012609?

Census tract 08013012609 in the East Aurora neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08013012609?

Median gross rent is $1,771/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08013012609?

50.6% of residents in tract 08013012609 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,417.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08013012609?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 3th, minority 43th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 08013012609 considered part of East Aurora?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08013012609 fall within East Aurora (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 08013012609 compare to Boulder overall?

Tract 08013012609 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Boulder at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boulder eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boulder

Top eight tracts in Boulder ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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